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April 26, 2004

Lies, Darn Lies, and Statistics

Now that our unofficial "TV Week" is over, I guess we can discuss other, more important, topics. Lately, I've heard a lot of crazy things. Last week, I overheard someone describing a secret draft that George Bush is formulating. This spring, everyone 18-26 will be up for grabs as the military needs more manpower for the purposes of war.

My first instinct was to try to correct the misunderstanding. Recent talk of a draft has come from Democrats (and now one Republican) who want all of us to have more invested (and more to lose) when our nation goes to war. I assumed what I heard was simply a twisting of the facts.

But the more I thought about it, the more I realized how naive my thinking was. This draft rumor wasn't a mistake. It was malicious. It's designed to get people to dislike Bush, and of course to vote for the alternative. It has no basis in truth, but what does that matter?

Lying works because in general people have very short-term memories. But it also only works among the gullible, the ignorant, and the innocent. Sometimes, the innocent grow up and become the intelligent, and that leaves them with a bad taste in their mouth regarding you, the liar. The gullible and ignorant will never see the light, but that just makes you a con artist, and worse yet, with a supporting base of idiots.

If lying is the method by which people are trying to elect John Kerry, his candidacy will be a devastating failure. Still, I can't entirely blame them. Kerry himself was the wrong candidate for the Democrats, who should have elected John Edwards. John Edwards could have won in November. He was an honest (at least by politician standards), down-to-earth guy who had genuine appeal. Heck, my WIFE loved him and she's the gun owner in the family!

Kerry, by comparison, appeals to virtually nobody. His base is made up of people who hate Bush, people who are lifelong or hardcore Democrats, and thanks to the strategy described above, total idiots. Is this really the kind of people you want in your camp? For one, they make the candidate look bad, and two, they're much more likely to accidentally vote for Pat Buchanan.

Back in 1996, I volunteered for a campaign that never had a chance too. Democrats, I feel for you.

Posted by March at April 26, 2004 12:00 PM

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